DIJK VAN AJ, NOBACK M, TROOST G, VERGEER JW, SIERDSEMA H & TURNHOUT VAN C (2013) Introduction of Autocluster softwarein the Breeding Bird Monitoring Program. LIMOSA 86 (2): 94-102.
The Breeding Bird Monitoring Program (bmp) assesses population
trends of breeding birds in the Netherlands since 1984.
It is based on intensive territory mapping in fixed study plots.
Fieldwork and interpretation methods are highly standardized
and are described in detail in a manual. All birds with
territory-indicative behavior (e.g. song, pair bond, display,
alarm, nests) are recorded on field maps. Species-specific
interpretation criteria are used to determine the number
of territories per species by the end of the season. Interpretation
criteria focus on the type of behavior observed, the
number of observations required (taking into account the
varying detection probability between species and within
the breeding season), and the timing of observations (to
exclude non-breeding migrants). This interpretation process
is time-consuming and rather complicated. Therefore,
we have developed the software tool Autocluster, which allows
data-entry and automatic clustering of field observations
into territories. In this paper the aims, techniques and
effects on estimated population trends of the introduction
of Autocluster are described. Autocluster primarily aims to facilitate
(volunteer) observers by simplifying data-entry (Fig.
1) and interpretation, and generating standard output such
as territory maps (Fig. 2). Since 50% and 58% of all observers
used Autocluster in 2011 and 2012 respectively, we seem to
have provided in a need. Furthermore, Autocluster further
standardizes interpretation of the field data, thereby increasing
comparability of counts between sites and years and
the quality of trend estimates. In addition, all individual observations
become digitally available for additional analyses,
such as studies on habitat use and detection probabilities. Finally,
estimating population trends on the basis of individual
observations instead of interpreted territories will be possible
in future, thereby accounting for possible time-trends in
detection probabilities. Effects of introduction of Autocluster
on population trends were assessed by comparing trends
based on study plots using traditional 'manual' interpretation
in both 2010 and 2011 with trends based on study plots
that changed to Autocluster in 2011 (Fig. 3). We found significant
differences for 12 out of 92 species, but these might be
partly caused by coincidence or by real differences in trends
between both datasets. We provisionally conclude that the
effects on national population trends are limited. However,
effects on local trends may be larger, depending on the extent
of deviations from standard interpretation guidelines
that individual observers have been applying.
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