Kraan C., van Gils J.A., Spaans B., Dekinga A. & Piersma T. (2010) Why Afro-Siberian Red Knots Calidris canutus canutus have stopped staging in the western Dutch Wadden Sea during southward migration. ARDEA 98 (2): 155-160

Afro-Siberian Red Knots Calidris canutus canutus use the western Dutch Wadden Sea as a refuelling area during southward migration from Taimyr to West Africa. Here we document the decline of their food stocks in this area, based on a yearly large-scale benthic mapping effort, from 1996 to 2005. For each benthic sampling position, intake rate (mg/s, ash-free dry mass) was predicted by an optimal diet model based on digestive rate maximization. Over the ten years, when accounting for a threshold value to meet energetic fuelling demands, subspecies canutus lost 86% of its suitable foraging area. Over this period, the proportion of probable canutus in mist-net catches in July–August declined relative to overwintering islandica Knots. This suggests that canutus dropped even more in numbers than islandica, for which we showed earlier a food-explained decline in numbers. We discuss the possible causality between a decline in the quality of intertidal mudflats in the Dutch Wadden Sea and population declines of Knots in the West-African wintering quarters.